CNBCのインスタグラム(cnbc) - 12月12日 22時16分


Rate cuts, an increased chance of a soft landing and lower inflation — the outlook for next year is looking up in the CNBC Fed Survey, to a point.

Respondents to the CNBC Fed Survey see the Fed beginning rate cuts next year, though not as aggressively or as quickly as markets have priced in. June is the first month for which more than half of respondents have a cut built in, rising to 69% by July.

Overall, the average respondent forecasts about 85 basis points of cut next year, roughly one 25 basis point trim a quarter, but not as much as the 120 basis points built into futures markets.

Like the Fed itself, the 35 respondents to the survey, including economists, strategists and analysts, separate into hawks and doves on the issue of rate cuts next year. More details on the survey results at the link in bio.


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